RGC

Regencell Bioscience Holdings LimitedNasdaqCM$5.62-$0.36 (-6.02%)

$5.62

-$0.36 (-6.02%)

7/23/2026, 8:00:01 PM · yahoo

Base (median)Bull (95%)Bear (5%)

Snapshot

Day high$5.99

Day low$5.57

Prev close$5.98

Volume156.18Kavg 464.5K

52w high$69.00

52w low$4.51

Market cap2.78B

CAGR 1y / 3y-58.8% · +114.2%

Trend

SMA 20$5.95

SMA 50$15.28

SMA 200$21.50

EMA 12$5.97

EMA 26$8.61

MACD-2.643

ADX (14)42.1

BB Width+52.74%

Momentum

RSI (14)32.2

Stoch %K34.9

Stoch %D37.0

Williams %R-65.1

ROC 10-7.41%

CCI 20-31.9

MFI 1448.8

Volatility

ATR 14$1.254

HV 20d+188.4%

HV 60d+141.5%

HV 252d+139.2%

Risk

VaR 95%-12.39%

VaR 99%-23.69%

CVaR 95%-20.24%

Max DD-93.87%

Sharpe0.31

Sortino0.59

Statistical

Mean ret/day+0.239%

Skew4.86

Kurtosis48.40

AC lag-1-0.055

AC lag-5-0.026

Hurst0.24

Fundamentals

Market cap—

P/E (TTM)—

Fwd P/E—

P/B2,810.00

P/S—

PEG—

EV/EBITDA-418.22

ROE-177.7%

Debt/Equity31.7

Profit margin+0.0%

Revenue growth—

Beta1.83

Five-axis scorecard

Quality · Growth · Valuation · Momentum · Risk

Quality

100% cov

20/ 100

Stressed fundamentals

Drivers (5/5)

Profit margin0.0%→ 0
0% → 0, 20%+ → 100. Negatives map to 0.
Operating margin0.0%→ 0
0% → 0, 25%+ → 100.
Return on equity-177.7%→ 0
0% → 0, 25%+ → 100. Above-cost-of-capital territory.
Current ratio1.42→ 100
<1 stressed, 1.5–3 healthy, >3 idle cash.
Debt / equity31.68→ 0
0 → 100, 2.5+ → 0 (inverted, lower leverage is better).

Growth

0% cov

—/ 100

Insufficient data

Drivers (0/2)

Revenue growth (YoY)—
−10% → 0, +30%+ → 100.
Earnings growth (YoY)—
−20% → 0, +50%+ → 100.

Valuation

17% cov

—/ 100

Insufficient data

Drivers (1/6)

Trailing P/E—
≤10 cheap (100), ≥40 rich (0).
Forward P/E—
≤10 cheap (100), ≥35 rich (0).
PEG—
≤0.5 deeply cheap (100), ≥2.5 priced for perfection (0).
Price / book2810.00→ 0
≤1 cheap (100), ≥6 rich (0).
Price / sales

Momentum

50% cov

37/ 100

Bear (37/100)

Drivers (2/4)

Monte Carlo P(up) 30d41.2%→ 41
GBM simulation with calibrated drift/vol. Probability terminal price > today.
ML ensemble P(up) 5d—
Mean of RandomForest + LogisticRegression on 7 TA features.
Momentum composite-0.37→ 31
RSI · MACD histogram · ROC10 · ADX, averaged then rescaled.
Social sentiment—
StockTwits author tags + StockTwits/X/Yahoo News VADER, averaged.

Risk

100% cov

19/ 100

Very high risk

Drivers (5/5)

Realized vol (60d)141.5%→ 0
0% → 100, 60%+ → 0 (annualized).
Max drawdown-93.9%→ 0
0% → 100, −60% → 0.
VaR 95% (1d)-15.7%→ 0
0% → 100, −6% → 0 (worse 1-day downside = lower).
Sharpe ratio0.56→ 52
−1 → 0, +2 → 100.

Each sub-score is a transparent weighted mean of normalized inputs (raw values shown below the headline). Mappings are deterministic piecewise functions — expand any card to inspect every driver.

Scoring…

Loading analyst ratings…

Growth Score

Coverage 50%

High RiskMedium confidence

High Risk — composite 37/100, bearish tilt suggests elevated downside.

Bias: 36/100
Agreement: 100%
Coverage: 50%
Signals: 2/4

Monte Carlo gives 41.2% probability of finishing above today over 30 days (bearish).
Momentum composite at -0.37 on a -1..+1 scale (bearish).

Coverage 50% — at least one signal is missing.

How is this label derived?

Direction comes from bias (mean of the four normalized signal scores): ≥ 58 reads bullish, ≤ 42 reads bearish, otherwise mixed.

Conviction comes from agreement + coverage: strong = agreement ≥ 75% and coverage ≥ 75%; medium = agreement ≥ 50%; otherwise low.

Bullish + strong → Strong Candidate · Bullish + medium/low → Watchlist Candidate · Bearish + strong → Avoid for Conservative · Bearish + medium/low → High Risk · Mid bias → Mixed Signals.

37/ 100Bear

Monte Carlo P(up) 30dweight 30%
+41.2%→ 41/100
GBM simulation with calibrated drift/vol. Probability terminal price > today.
ML ensemble P(up) 5dweight 30%
—n/a
Mean of RandomForest + LogisticRegression on 7 TA features.
Momentum compositeweight 20%
-0.37→ 31/100
RSI · MACD histogram · ROC10 · ADX, averaged then rescaled.
Social sentimentweight 20%
—n/a
StockTwits author tags + StockTwits/X/Yahoo News VADER, averaged.

The classification is a deterministic readout of the four directional signals below — not a prediction, not financial advice, and not a recommendation to trade. Each component is normalized to 0–100 and combined by the weights shown.

Computing Growth Score…

Simulating…

ARIMA forecast

30d mean—

90d mean—

180d mean—

360d mean—

360d 95%—

AIC—

GARCH volatility

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Not financial advice. All data from public sources and may be delayed or incomplete. Models shown are statistical descriptions of past behavior, not predictions. Provider: yahoo.